Person
Steven Austad
University of Alabama at Birmingham biogerontologist who has a running public wager with S. Jay Olshansky on whether anyone will live to 150 by the year 2150, with the stake growing from an initial $150 toward a trust fund that could pay out hundreds of millions of dollars to the winner's descendants.
Summary Can some animals age more slowly, and could humans reach 150? Show / hide ↓
This is an aging researcher known for studying how animals age and for a public bet about whether someone will reach age 150 by 2150. Opossums on a Georgia island without natural predators lived about 25% longer than mainland opossums and showed slower collagen cross-linking, a change that can make body tissues stiffer. Several later studies supported these animal findings, which helped show that aging speed can evolve when survival risks change. The 150-year bet is real, but it is not scientific proof or a firm prediction. The researcher expects progress to come from several treatments working together, not from one miracle drug.
What this means for you: The opossum research is credible evidence that aging can differ between animal populations. It does not show that people will reach 150, so this should not be treated as evidence to buy a longevity product.
moderate evidence01CareerHis academic and nonprofit aging-research leadership roles.
Steven Austad holds the Protective Life Endowed Chair of Healthy Aging Research at the University of Alabama at Birmingham, a position he took up in 2021, and founded UAB's Nathan Shock Center of Excellence in the Basic Biology of Aging [1]. He also serves as Senior Scientific Director of the American Federation for Aging Research [1].
02Opossum researchField evidence that aging rates can evolve with predation pressure.
Before his academic career, Austad worked as a lion tamer and wildlife trapper, and his research path into aging biology grew out of his field studies of opossums [1]. He discovered that opossums living on Sapelo Island, a barrier island off the Georgia coast with no natural predators of opossums, showed slower collagen cross-linking, later reproductive senescence, and roughly 25% longer maximum lifespans than opossums living on the predator-rich mainland [1]. This finding became a foundational piece of evidence for the evolutionary theory that aging rate itself can evolve in response to extrinsic mortality risk, since animals facing lower predation pressure benefit evolutionarily from investing more in long-term tissue maintenance.
03The wagerHis lifespan wager with Olshansky over a person reaching age 150.
Austad is one half of one of the most famous wagers in the aging-research field. In 2000 he bet fellow biogerontologist S. Jay Olshansky $150 that someone alive today will live to at least 150 years old by the year 2150, a bet Olshansky took the opposite side of [2]. The wager was structured so that the stake compounds in an investment account over the 150-year period; a 2016 Nature news article reported the growing pot had already prompted the two men to double their bet, and coverage of the wager describes the eventual payout, if the fund is left to compound for the full 150 years, as potentially reaching hundreds of millions of dollars for the winner's heirs [2][3]. Austad has taken the optimistic side of the bet, arguing that advances in geroscience could plausibly extend maximum human lifespan well past the current confirmed record of 122 years, held by Jeanne Calment [3].
04His wider viewHis incremental, multi-intervention view and comparative biology focus.
Austad's own public statements are more nuanced than the bet alone suggests: he has argued in interviews that he does not expect radical life extension to arrive from any single "magic bullet" compound, but rather from a combination of interventions that each address different biological mechanisms of aging simultaneously, a more incremental position than the wager's framing implies [3]. He has also been a vocal proponent within the field for taking basic comparative biology, studying naturally long-lived species like the opossums, whales, and naked mole rats, as seriously as work on standard laboratory model organisms like mice, arguing that evolution has already solved some aging problems that laboratory-only research risks overlooking [1].
05Financial positionHis nonprofit role and lack of a reported longevity-product equity stake.
As Senior Scientific Director of AFAR, Austad occupies a nonprofit grant-coordination role rather than a company-founder or product-sales role, distinguishing his commercial exposure from several peers in this reference who hold equity in biotech or supplement companies whose products they also promote. He does not appear in available reporting to hold a comparable equity stake in any longevity supplement or drug company.
06Our plain takeawayHis nuanced public view is more modest than the famous wager suggests.
The plain takeaway: Austad's opossum research is a genuinely important, peer-reviewed contribution to evolutionary theories of aging, and his bet with Olshansky is a real, publicly documented wager rather than a publicity stunt, structured with an actual escrow arrangement, but Austad's own more careful public statements about incremental, multi-intervention progress are considerably more modest than the eye-catching "150 by 2150" framing that gets most of the media attention.
References
Every numbered citation in this entry links here. Each reference links out to the primary source.
-
[1]
Steven N. Austad Tier 4
Career biography, UAB chair and Nathan Shock Center founding, AFAR role, and description of the Sapelo Island opossum research.
-
[2]
The Long-Lived Bet Tier 4
Original reporting establishing the terms of the Austad-Olshansky $150 wager on 150-year human lifespan by 2150.
-
[3]
Gerontologists place their bets Tier 4
Follow-up reporting confirming the wager's compounding stake had grown and the two scientists doubled the bet, plus their differing public rationales.
-
[4]
Redefining human aging: Is it a curable disease or destiny? Tier 3
Peer-reviewed commentary reflecting Austad's own, more incremental public position on the pace and mechanism of future lifespan extension.
-
[5]
Comparative biology of aging Tier 3
Peer-reviewed review establishing Austad's argument for comparative biology of naturally long-lived species as a research priority alongside standard model organisms.
-
[6]
American Federation for Aging Research leadership Tier 4
Primary source confirming Austad's Senior Scientific Director role at the nonprofit AFAR.
Further reading
Curated external sources for a deeper dive. External links open in a new tab.
- Steven N. Austad Wikipedia
- The Long-Lived Bet Science
- Gerontologists place their bets Nature