Study

The Long-Lived Bet

Science staff

PRIMARY 2001
Summary Will someone born around 2000 live to age 150? Show / hide ↓

Two aging researchers made a public wager about whether someone born in 2000 would reach age 150. They compared different predictions about future medical advances and human life spans, rather than testing a treatment on volunteers. Money was invested for many years, with the winner decided by whether such a person is eventually documented. The wager did not produce new health data, and its outcome remains unknown.

What this means for you: This is not a reason to buy a supplement, medicine, or treatment. It was a prediction contest, not evidence that any current product can help people live longer.

weak evidence
DesignPRIMARY
TierTier 4, Ingredient RCT (different dose)
Year2001
JournalScience
Added to NO1GEVITYJul 6, 2026

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